Hockey Pool

2009 Standings

Position	Name	Points	Weighting Remaining	Winning %
1	Patrick	454	91	13.65
2	Amhlaoibh	451	91	24.61
3	BrianH	449	88	0
4	Kirk	441	83	0.26
5	Jeffrey	439	86	1.62
6	BrianD	439	85	0.05
7	Derek	438	85	2.34
8	Trevor	437	90	11.76
9	DavidS	437	88	0.66
10	Jasprit	435	84	1.30
11	Grady	433	80	0.22
12	Ajay	431	87	4.19
13	Scott	430	90	6.65
14	Mike	430	84	1.38
15	Bill	429	90	2.66
16	Jon	426	85	12.86
17	Seeds	426	79	n/a

2009 Standings (Cont.)

Position	Name	Points	Weighting Remaining	Winning %
18	Jon	426	78	0
19	Roel	424	92	8.47
20	Chris	424	80	0
21	Sarah	423	81	0.02
22	Jaeslyn	422	85	6.71
23	MarkDC	422	77	0
24	Trevor	420	80	0
25	DavidB	417	83	0
26	MarkE	417	79	0.00
27	George	414	82	0.30
28	George	412	78	0
29	Kirk	409	79	0
30	Craig	407	75	0
31	Erin	400	70	0.30
32	Nathalie	395	66	0
33	Darby	391	74	0
34	Suzanne	384	67	0

2009 Results

Rank	Team	Wins

1	Ana	4
1	Bos	4
1	Car	4
1	Chi	4
1	Det	4
1	Pit	4
1	Van	4
1	Was	4
9	x-NJ	3
9	x-NYR	3
11	x-Cal	2
11	x-Phi	2
11	x-SJ	2
14	x-Clb	0
14	x-Mon	0
14	x-StL	0

x-Eliminated

Previous Standings

April 28, 10pm April 28, 10am April 28, 1am April 27, 10am April 26, 10am April 25, 6pm April 24, 10pm April 24, 10am April 23, 10am April 22, 10am April 21, 10am April 20, 10am April 19, 10am April 18, 10am April 17, 10am April 16, 10am

Patrick comes out of the first round with the lead, one of five people to rank seven of the eight first-round winners in the top half...Patrick, Shim, Brian Hazzard, and I got the seven other than Anaheim, while the fifth person to go 7-for-8 shocked me and made me think I must have composed my query incorrectly, until I manually checked it: Jaeslyn, who bounced around the bottom of the standings for pretty much the whole first round, but did indeed rank seven of the eight first-round winners in her top half; the problem is that her mistakes were big ones, ranking the Sharks #1 and the Canucks #16...actually, her entry is quite interesting, and I remember noting when I got it that it seemed odd to rank the Blues and Canucks at the bottom considering that they met in the first round, and I wondered whether she just misunderstood the matchups, but since her entry came in right at the deadline, there was no time to check into it (perhaps another reason not to wait until the last minute to get your entries in :-)...nonetheless, despite languishing in 22nd place, Jaeslyn has a relatively healthy 6.71% chance of winning...(all winning percentages are based on the assumption that all the eight-million-odd currently-possible outcome permutations are equally probable)...all of which leads me to think that the scoring changes for this year appear to be a success so far, with the majority of entries (21 of 33, compared to 10 of 33 at this point last year) still having a potential winning scenario, and no one monopolizing more than a 1-in-4 chance (Amhlaoibh's 24.61%, compared to Kirk's 62.24% at this point last year)...even Mark Eaves, who only went 5-for-8 in the first round and has Chicago ranked dead last still has 104 winning scenarios, for a 0.0012% chance of winning, and Erin, who only went 4-for-8 and is currently in 31st place still has 24,864 winning scenarios, for a 0.3% chance...still, pity poor Brian Hazzard, who despite going 7-for-8 in the first round and sitting in third place is doomed to a Sisyphean finish, almost certainly in the top half like he's managed for the last three years, and quite probably in the top ten, for the third time in four years, but strangely and sadly he has no path to victory...it does appear likely that there will be a new champion this year, as all of the previous winners in the pool (except me) have winning percentages less than 1%...sorry for the long hiatus between postings; technical issues and an out-of-town trip delayed these standings...